UNESCO Warns: Generative AI Could Slash Creator Earnings by 25% by 2028

John NadaBy John Nada·Feb 22, 2026·6 min read
UNESCO Warns: Generative AI Could Slash Creator Earnings by 25% by 2028

UNESCO forecasts significant revenue losses for creators due to generative AI, prompting urgent calls for reformed copyright frameworks to protect artists.

Generative AI is set to significantly disrupt the creative economy, with UNESCO projecting potential revenue losses of 24% for music creators and 21% for audiovisual creators by 2028. The findings from UNESCO’s Re|Shaping Policies for Creativity report highlight that digital revenues now account for 35% of creators’ income, up from 17% in 2018. This shift illustrates a growing reliance on digital channels, which, while lucrative, expose creators to increased risks related to intellectual property infringement.

The impending financial strain on creators is a critical concern, especially as AI-generated content proliferates. The competition between AI-generated works and human-made creations poses a unique challenge that can lead to diminished earnings for artists. According to Ishita Sharma, managing partner at Fathom Legal, this situation necessitates a reevaluation of copyright frameworks. The ongoing debate has shifted from a focus on innovation to concerns over distributive imbalance, where AI systems extract value from protected works at scale without proportionate compensation.

UNESCO’s report, which aggregates insights from over 120 countries, suggests that the rising use of generative AI is not merely a technological advancement; it's a transformative force that is reshaping the landscape of creative industries. In the report, the stark reality is laid bare: as AI outputs become more prevalent, creators risk losing substantial portions of their income, making it imperative to address these challenges head-on.

As noted, digital revenues now represent a significant portion of creators’ income, illustrating the extent to which artists have come to depend on online platforms for their livelihoods. This statistic has surged from just 17% in 2018 to 35% in the current landscape, highlighting a rapid transition to digital avenues. However, this transition is fraught with instability, as creators face not only the challenges of competition from AI but also the threat of intellectual property infringement. The report underscores that public funding for culture remains dismally low, below 0.6% of GDP globally, further exacerbating the vulnerabilities that creators experience.

The situation is compounded by the legal landscape surrounding AI and copyright. Lawsuits against major tech firms like OpenAI, Google, Meta, and Anthropic are becoming increasingly common, as creators and stakeholders in the arts fight against what they perceive as unfair practices in AI training. These legal battles emphasize the need for a robust legal framework that can adequately protect artists in an era where their work can be easily replicated and consumed by AI technologies.

Sharma's insights into copyright doctrines reveal that existing frameworks may not suffice in the face of evolving AI technologies. The fair use and fair dealing doctrines were designed to evaluate specific transformative uses in human contexts, not the wholesale ingestion of extensive copyrighted materials for commercial model development. This fundamental misalignment raises significant questions about the legality and ethics of AI training practices, further complicating the landscape for artists seeking protection.

Moreover, the report highlights structural gaps that could amplify financial losses for creators. A notable digital skills divide exists between developed and developing countries, with 67% of individuals in developed nations possessing digital skills, compared to only 28% in developing nations. This disparity not only limits the ability of creators to adapt to new technologies but also highlights the urgent need for investment in digital literacy programs across the globe.

As generative AI continues to evolve, the question of who truly benefits from its growth remains contentious. The ongoing legal proceedings against AI firms illustrate the deep-seated tensions between technology companies and creators. Recent developments in court cases, including a New York judge allowing key infringement claims to proceed, signal a critical moment in the ongoing battle for fair compensation and rights for creators.

Publishers have also joined the fray, alleging that Google copied books without permission to train its Gemini AI, showcasing the far-reaching implications of AI on intellectual property rights. In Hollywood, the momentum is building, with over 500 writers, actors, and technologists supporting the Creators Coalition on AI, which is advocating for enforceable standards governing AI training and creator compensation.

Despite these legal challenges, some sectors of the tech industry are taking proactive steps to adapt to the changing environment. Google.org has announced a $2 million investment in the Sundance Institute aimed at training over 100,000 artists in foundational AI skills. By positioning AI literacy as a baseline creative competency, they are attempting to bridge the gap between technology and the creative community.

The challenges presented by generative AI extend beyond mere financial concerns. The impact on the quality and authenticity of creative work is also at stake. As AI systems learn from existing works to generate new content, the essence of what it means to be a creator is being tested. Artists may find their unique styles and voices replicated without their consent, leading to a dilution of originality in creative fields.

In this complex landscape, the call for clearer remuneration-focused protections for creators becomes increasingly urgent. The current legal remedies available to artists whose styles or voices are replicated are often described as fragmented and imperfect. Copyright law tends to protect specific expressions rather than broader styles, making it difficult for creators to seek redress for unauthorized use of their creative identities.

As the debate continues, it is evident that the creative economy stands at a crossroads. The rise of generative AI presents both challenges and opportunities. While the potential for innovation is significant, it must be balanced with ethical considerations and the need for fair compensation for human creators. The actions taken in the coming years will shape the future of creative industries and determine the landscape for artists navigating the interplay between technology and creativity.

The UNESCO report serves as a clarion call for stakeholders across the creative spectrum to engage in meaningful discussions about the future of copyright and the protections necessary to safeguard the interests of creators. As generative AI technologies continue to advance, the need for a cohesive and equitable framework becomes more pressing. Artists, technologists, and policymakers must collaborate to ensure that the creative economy can thrive amidst the challenges posed by AI, fostering an environment where creativity can flourish without the looming threat of financial instability and intellectual property infringement.

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