Nvidia Defies Chip Slump — Traders Bet $11M on Call Options
By John Nada·Jul 7, 2026·6 min read
Traders bet $11M on Nvidia call options amid chip sector slump. Bullish sentiment defies broader market concerns.
Nvidia's stock stood firm even as the broader chip sector tumbled, with shares of the semiconductor giant holding their ground amid a 5% drop in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). This resilience comes in stark contrast to the wave of bearish sentiment engulfing the sector, fueled by reports that Nvidia's next-gen Kyber server racks might face manufacturing delays.
The company, known for its prowess in the AI domain, saw its shares trading just under $200, a level it's been flirting with while being down 17% from its May record. Despite this, Nvidia's stock is up just 4% on the year as investors have turned their attention to other AI components, like memory-makers. One key factor that sets Nvidia apart from other stocks right now is its bullish options flows.
According to CNBC Business, more than 1.5 million call options were traded Tuesday, compared to under 690,000 puts. That's a bullish ratio suggesting traders are gearing up for a potential rally. It's a bet on rising value, a stark difference from the SMH ETF, where puts outpaced calls nearly four-to-one, revealing traders' cautious stance on the sector overall.
In a notable twist, Nvidia's own narrative isn't entirely rosy. A report from SemiAnalysis claimed the company lagged behind by at least a year in the manufacturing of its server racks. Nvidia disputed this, sparking a flurry of trading activity. The initial report had suggested that delays in the Kyber server rack manufacturing could potentially hinder Nvidia's market momentum. However, the company's swift response to these claims has kept traders on their toes, with the stock's performance remaining relatively stable amid the turbulence.
The real intrigue lies in the options market. Traders snapped up $11 million in premium for the 200-strike calls expiring shortly, as noted by SpotGamma. With these contracts needing about 5.5% more to deliver returns by month-end, the wager is bold. It suggests confidence in Nvidia's short-term prospects, even with broader sector pressures. These trades, especially the 200-strike calls, point to a robust belief in Nvidia's ability to achieve significant short-term gains, despite the challenges highlighted in the SemiAnalysis report.
The volume of call options in Nvidia was notably high compared to the rest of the sector. ThinkorSwim data showed that more than twice as many calls were bought versus puts. This contrasts sharply with the behavior observed in the sector ETF, where puts heavily outweighed calls, with traders buying 33,000 puts compared to just 7,300 calls. Such a disparity underscores the unique position Nvidia holds in traders' minds, standing as a beacon of optimism against a backdrop of sector-wide skepticism.
This pattern of trading activity wasn't isolated to Tuesday alone. Similar action took place in Nvidia on Monday, following the company's rebuttal of the SemiAnalysis report. On that day, calls more than doubled puts by volume, with about two-thirds of the $600M of Nvidia options premium tied to calls. Almost three times as many calls were bought versus puts, indicating a continued bullish sentiment among traders.
A particular group of trades, believed to be initiated by a single trader, involved the purchase of $3.5 million worth of 200-strike calls expiring at the end of July. These contracts, priced just under $7 each at the time of the trade, still require about a 5.5% increase to pay off by month-end. Such a concentrated bet highlights a strong conviction in Nvidia's potential to buck the broader market trend and catalyze a rally.

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Observing the top five contracts, all of which were calls expiring Wednesday, reveals a focused strategy among traders. The most popular of these was the 200-strike call, which traded almost 170,000 times for a total $11 million in premium, according to SpotGamma data. This aggressive positioning in the options market suggests that traders are not merely hedging their bets but are actively wagering on a significant upward move in Nvidia's stock price.
The backdrop of this trading activity is the 4th Supply Chain Expo in China, where Nvidia showcased its capabilities with humanoid robots. The display underscored Nvidia's commitment to innovation and its ongoing efforts to leverage AI technology in diverse applications. This public demonstration of technology prowess may have further bolstered trader confidence, reinforcing the belief that Nvidia remains at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor industries.
Nvidia's presence at the expo also highlights the company's strategic focus on expanding its influence within China, a critical market for semiconductor companies. As geopolitical tensions and supply chain challenges continue to shape the global tech landscape, Nvidia's efforts to solidify its position in China could be seen as a calculated move to mitigate potential risks and capitalize on new opportunities.
The juxtaposition of Nvidia's robust options activity against the broader semiconductor sector's struggles paints a compelling picture of market dynamics. While concerns about manufacturing delays and the competitive landscape persist, the options activity showcases a trader community willing to place significant bets on Nvidia defying odds and sparking a rally. Whether that's prescient or misplaced remains to be proven.
Nvidia's story is not just one of defying market trends but also of navigating complex industry challenges. The company's response to the SemiAnalysis report reflects a proactive approach to addressing market concerns and maintaining investor confidence. By disputing claims of manufacturing delays, Nvidia has demonstrated its commitment to transparency and its readiness to tackle potential setbacks head-on.
The broader implications of Nvidia's market performance extend beyond the company itself. As one of the leading players in the AI and semiconductor sectors, Nvidia's trajectory can offer insights into the health and direction of these industries. Traders' willingness to invest heavily in Nvidia options, despite broader sector apprehensions, suggests a belief in the company's capacity to weather industry headwinds and continue its growth trajectory.
Ultimately, the unfolding narrative around Nvidia serves as a microcosm of the larger forces at play within the tech and semiconductor landscapes. The interplay between market optimism, corporate strategy, and industry challenges will likely continue to shape Nvidia's path and influence trader sentiment in the months to come.
As the dust settles from the latest trading activity, all eyes will be on Nvidia to see if the optimism driving the options market translates into tangible stock performance. The stakes are high, and the outcomes will be closely watched by industry analysts, traders, and investors alike.