Crypto.com Expands into Prediction Markets: A Risky Move for Traders

John NadaBy John Nada·Dec 23, 2025·4 min read
Crypto.com Expands into Prediction Markets: A Risky Move for Traders

Crypto.com’s new internal market-making desk for prediction markets raises ethical concerns as the exchange may trade against its users. Trust and transparency are vital in this evolving landscape.

In a bold move that has stirred the waters of the cryptocurrency exchange landscape, Crypto.com has recently hired a quantitative trader to establish an internal market-making desk focused on prediction markets. This strategic step is designed to enhance the platform's offerings in an increasingly competitive sector, yet it raises significant ethical questions about possible conflicts of interest between the exchange and its user base. As the use of prediction markets grows, the implications of such internal trading operations could be profound, both for investors and the broader crypto ecosystem.

With this new initiative, Crypto.com aims to bolster its presence in a niche market where users engage in betting on the outcomes of various events—ranging from sports to politics. Prediction markets have gained popularity for their unique ability to aggregate diverse opinions and forecasts about future events, often proving to be more accurate than traditional polls. However, the introduction of an internal market maker potentially shifts the dynamics in favor of the exchange itself, creating an environment where the interests of the platform might not align with those of its customers.

Historically, exchanges have faced scrutiny over their trading practices. The concerns arise from the fundamental structure of having an exchange act as both a facilitator for trades and a trader itself. Users may question whether they are getting fair odds or if the exchange is using its market-making capabilities to profit at their expense. It's a contentious issue—one that has haunted several prominent platforms in the past. For instance, discussions around similar practices at Binance and Bitfinex have led to regulatory investigations, which highlight the delicate balance that must be maintained between user trust and corporate profitability.

Data shows that the prediction market sector sees millions in daily trading volume, indicating strong interest from investors. As of late 2025, several exchanges reporting activity in this area saw increases in user engagement; however, the perception of fairness is crucial for sustained growth. If users believe they are trading against an entity with insider knowledge or unfair advantages, they may opt to take their business elsewhere. This could lead to a domino effect, where skepticism about trading practices diminishes overall market activity, potentially impacting price movements and liquidity.

Short-term strategies for Crypto.com appear aimed at capturing market share amidst stiff competition. The exchange's move reflects a broader trend of larger platforms diversifying their offerings and incorporating new ways to engage users. As such, embracing prediction markets could provide Crypto.com with a lucrative stream of revenue. Yet, it is essential for users to remain vigilant about how these internal trades may affect their experience. Risk and return must be transparently communicated to maintain the trust of the user base, especially as new players enter the prediction market space.

The regulatory backdrop adds another layer of complexity to this situation. Authorities have been tightening their grip on crypto exchanges, emphasizing the need for compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) regulations. As exchanges like Crypto.com adapt to these evolving standards, they must also navigate the ethical implications of their trading operations. The risks involved could prompt regulators to evaluate market-making practices more closely, potentially instituting guidelines that could reshape how exchanges operate in the future.

As the dust settles on Crypto.com’s latest announcement, it remains to be seen how this strategy will play out. Investors will be looking closely at how the platform manages its market-making functions alongside user trades. The integrity of trading practices will ultimately influence user confidence and could dictate crypto's capacity to attract new participants. With a market cap exceeding $1 trillion, the sector requires firms to act responsibly, maintaining a balance between innovation and ethical practice. The coming months will be critical for determining if Crypto.com can enhance its offerings without sacrificing its user base's trust, as the integrity of exchanges remains vital in this rapidly evolving digital asset landscape.

Market analysts will undoubtedly keep a keen eye on this development, as well as the response from regulators. The ramifications of this model could set a precedent for how other exchanges approach market-making and user interaction. For those invested in the prediction market concept, understanding the potential risks and rewards will be essential as the landscape evolves. Stakeholders must consider not only the immediate effects of such decisions but also the long-term implications that could affect the entire crypto ecosystem.

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